Public Housing Framework™

Resident Risk Categories

A framework defining levels of housing risk and their indicators in the Raleigh metropolitan area

Purpose

This framework defines categories of housing risk to support understanding and analysis. Risk categories help identify the nature and severity of housing challenges facing households and communities.

This is an educational and informational resource. It does not provide services, assessments, or housing placement.

Housing Risk Categories

Low Risk

Households with stable, affordable, and suitable housing with low probability of involuntary displacement.

Indicators:

  • Housing costs below 30% of gross income
  • Secure tenure with long-term lease or ownership
  • Housing meets suitability needs
  • Low neighborhood displacement pressure
  • Stable household income

Moderate Risk

Households with adequate housing that faces emerging pressures or has some vulnerability to displacement.

Indicators:

  • Housing costs 30-50% of gross income
  • Lease terms under 12 months or approaching renewal
  • Some suitability mismatches
  • Moderate neighborhood market pressure
  • Household income that is stable but limited

High Risk

Households facing significant housing challenges with substantial probability of displacement or housing loss.

Indicators:

  • Housing costs above 50% of gross income
  • Lease non-renewal, eviction proceedings, or foreclosure
  • Unsafe or uninhabitable conditions
  • High neighborhood displacement pressure
  • Loss of income or significant household change

Critical Risk

Households experiencing immediate housing loss, unsafe conditions, or active displacement.

Indicators:

  • Active eviction or foreclosure proceedings
  • Unsafe or uninhabitable housing conditions
  • Homelessness or imminent homelessness
  • Domestic violence or other safety concerns
  • Loss of housing due to natural disaster or fire